Let’s chat models!
Let’s chat models! Check out the disagreement here…
Slide 1 - the ECMWF also known as “the euro” paints a potent north pac storm being engulfed by an absolute monster of a system off the west coast of AK. Model shows the lower portion of the system moving inland over western WA this weekend.
Slide 2: the GFS - tends to be a bit less accurate but can still hold its weight. What we really want is for this to agree on track and intensity with the euro. Which, for us tonight (Tuesday) - it’s not. The GFS paints the weekend storm staying off the coast with some moderate, offshore flow for us. GFS is showing the monster system - so they do agree on that!
Slide 3: The euro showing potent 45mph gusts throughout western WA for the weekend.
Slide 4: GFS says nah, keeps things mellow with light to moderate offshore breeze for us.
So - what do you think?